As a society, the notion that we’re going to progress from this step to the next by thinking with today’s philosophy is dangerously myopic.
The Australian government’s plan for a Nationational Broadband Network (NBN) aims to build an infrastructure that surpasses the economicly justifiable ‘next step’. Senator Minchin, the opposition’s man of tech, has labelled the idea a ‘pipe dream‘, invoking ideas that this plan was born from smoking too much opium and has no place in rational or practical movements.
He’s not alone, commentators both from a #NoCleanFeed pedigry and from more traditional sources have criticised the idea as being too much, too expensive and unwanted.
This whole situation is rife with inconsistancy on both sides, more so for the #NoCleanFeed gang that are opposing the NBN. The government showed near-lethal myopia in pushing the ISP level filtering project and were criticised, quite rightly, for not enough forward-thinking. We argued the importance of a strong and powerful internet on Australia’s global future. Now some of those same people are lambasting the government for spending money on a strong and powerful internet. It’s a lot of money, $43 billion would solve almost any problem you could imagine, but in the context of forward thought, this is $43 Billion for which we should all eagerly be opening our wallets.
When the Sydney harbour bridge was built in the 1920s, it was built with 8 lanes – far more than was required for the traffic needs of the time. Now the traffic is insane, but 100 years later the bridge is still providing for Sydney.
The tunnel underneath the bridge, however, was opened in 1992 and only carries about half of the amount of traffic; $552 million to for a 50% increase in traffic capacity.
Similiar infrastructure decisions have been made here in Brisbane, and one can assume, in most population centers. Something is built to counteract the issues we are experiencing today and by the time they are built are rendered, at best, adequate to keep those issues static – not improve them.
We keep getting away with it with transport infrastructure. We should, presumably, see it fade from being an issue as cars and the like become less dominant over the next 100 years.
We won’t be so lucky with communications infrastructure.
Technology is the one thing that cannot be made obsolete by technology. Cars – dead to telecommuting. Pollution – dead to sustainable energy. War – dead to blurred geonational boundaries. Death – ummm, dead to medical technology.
Transcendance or Armageddon aside, communication and its symbiote technology, are realities that defie mortality and herald the end of those realities that don’t.
In simpler terms, in the next 100 to 200 years, most of our problems are going to go away due to technology. technology will still be here in some form or another. If we’re going to blow $43 Billion on something, let’s make it something that will still be useful to our great grand children.
I welcome any policy decision that is made with a considered time frame measured in decades and centuries.
Here are the questions we are asking:
- How much will it cost consumers?
- Can we trust Conroy to do this?
- Do we really need it?
- Is this economically feasable?
Here are the questions we should be asking:
- Is fibre optic cable the best option for longevity?
- Is there something better?
- What is the most speed we can get at the proposed level of expenditure?
- While we’re digging, for what else should we leave room in the pipes?
- Are we thinking big enough?
- Are we thinking long term enough?
Our society, on all levels, is going to have to start making serious decisions about where we want to be in 200 years. We have a whole bag of socio-economic and ethno-political tricks up our sleeves, it’s about time we stop experimenting and start looking at which ones will put us in the best place in the long run.
The ISP level filter was an example of short term thinking gone wrong. The DBCDE convinced itself that today’s technology could help solve (they never said it was a silver bullet) a timeless problem. We reacted appropriately.
The NBN is an example of long term thinking in serious need of guidance. I’d say that offering to spend $43 Billion on the NBN shows that he’s not just trying to win the tech vote. By the look of the political timeline, he’s willing to lose the ’status quo’ vote to improve Australia’s world and temporal standing.
We need more pipe dreams like this one lest we find ourselves tethered to yesterday and yesterday’s problems – unable to move forward.
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